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Overdue correction is looming. Is it time for the bulls to take a summer nap?
 
Singapore

Straits Times Index
 

Since hitting a high of 2424 on 2nd June, the benchmark STI succumbed to profit-taking as it slipped 9% to register a low of 2212 on 24th June. Current price action suggests that the STI is in a consolidation phase as it remains choppy around the 20-day moving average. In addition, the ADX is hovering below the 20 level; indicating a sideway market. Currently the STI is supported by a diagonal trend line from the 18th May low which also coincides closely to the 50-day moving average which is now running at 2260. However the MACD is drifting lower since its peak on 8th May and looking to test the zero line (a move below zero - a bearish centerline crossover implies that momentum has changed from positive to negative). Coupled with lackluster volume as STI bounced off the diagonal support on 8th July, investors do have to be cautious now as a pronounced correction cannot be ruled out at this juncture. A clear break below the immediate support at 2260 may see a decline towards its stronger support at 2040. Key support may be at 1940 (former horizontal resistance now turned support) which also corresponds closely to the 50% Fibonacci retracement from the March low to the recent June high. On the upside, STI needs to overcome the resistance barrier of 2362 – 2424 to resume its prior uptrend to the next target ranging at 2504 – 2533, a falling window resistance gap

 
 
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