Chart A
Chart A shows that the DJ has broken below the
psychological support level of 12,000. We are seeing 3 possible support levels below it. Firstly, there is a trendline support(red)
which was tested no less than two times. This is closely followed by a second trendline support(blue). This blue trendline is the long-term trend
support for DJ. Should DJ breaks these
two trendline support, it will likely lead to more heavy selling. Next, Fibonacci 38.2% support stands guard
near 11,500 points. Lastly, a major
horizontal support at 11,300 should be the worst case scenario for now. After identifying all the strong support
levels, investors are urged not to buy with blind faith with regards to
technical analysis. Rather, these are
anticipations or what we refer to as market opinion. When an opinion is conjured, it is important for
it to be confirmed by market actions. These confirming actions include formation of a candlestick reversal
pattern, divergence from an indicator or a bounce off the support As for the
resistance levels, the first resistance is seen at 12,180 thereabouts. From Chart A, we can also observe how the
index flirted with the 50-day moving average line in the past. Should we test and retrace below the 50-day
moving average line, it means that the bears are still in control. On the other hand, if we break above this
moving average line, it will be useful to start tracking the 20-day moving
average for the anticipated upward price movement. Money flow index is also showing a small
positive divergence, this could be an early sign of bear weakness |